2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Jack Trice Stadium
Kansas State @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kansas State
24.5
Iowa State
26.6
Iowa State win probability: 55%
Margin (Iowa State − Kansas State): 2.0 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:03 PM | 2.0 | 51.1 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:04 PM | 2.0 | 51.1 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:13 PM | 2.0 | 51.1 | 55% |