2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Jack Trice Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State
Predicted scoreConfident
Oklahoma State
18.3
Iowa State
36.0
Iowa State win probability: 87%
Margin (Iowa State − Oklahoma State): 17.7 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:59 PM | 17.7 | 54.4 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:06 PM | 17.7 | 54.4 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:16 PM | 17.7 | 54.3 | 87% |