2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 7:30 PM · Kinnick Stadium
Western Michigan @ Iowa
Predicted scoreConfident
Western Michigan
16.5
Iowa
32.8
Iowa win probability: 85%
Margin (Iowa − Western Michigan): 16.3 (80% range -3 to 36)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 28 to 72)
Actual: Western Michigan 10 – Iowa 41 (margin error 14.7, total error 1.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.