2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 4:00 PM · Kinnick Stadium
Utah State @ Iowa
Predicted scoreConfident
Utah State
14.1
Iowa
35.1
Iowa win probability: 91%
Margin (Iowa − Utah State): 21.0 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Utah State 14 – Iowa 24 (margin error 11.0, total error 11.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.94% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.