2026 Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 8:15 PM · Kinnick Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Iowa
Predicted scoreConfident
Northern Illinois
10.9
Iowa
37.9
Iowa win probability: 96%
Margin (Iowa − Northern Illinois): 27.0 (80% range 7 to 48)
Total: 48.8 (80% range 28 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 1.05% |
| 10 | 31 | 1.01% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.91% |
| 0 | 31 | 0.88% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:09 PM | 27.1 | 48.8 | 96% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:18 PM | 26.9 | 48.8 | 96% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:06 PM | 27.0 | 48.8 | 96% |