2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Ryan Field
Iowa @ Northwestern
Predicted scoreLean
Iowa
25.4
Northwestern
19.1
Northwestern win probability: 33%
Margin (Northwestern − Iowa): -6.4 (80% range -25 to 13)
Total: 44.5 (80% range 24 to 66)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.89% |
| 17 | 10 | 0.79% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:19 PM | -6.3 | 45.5 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:18 PM | -6.3 | 45.5 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:08 PM | -6.4 | 44.5 | 33% |