Predicted scoreConfident
Purdue
16.0
Iowa
32.3
Iowa win probability: 86%
Margin (Iowa − Purdue): 16.3 (80% range -3 to 36)
Total: 48.3 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.97% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.76% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:29 PM | 17.5 | 48.3 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:38 PM | 16.3 | 48.3 | 86% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:53 PM | 16.3 | 48.3 | 86% |