Predicted scoreLikely
Wisconsin
14.1
Iowa
26.9
Iowa win probability: 81%
Margin (Iowa − Wisconsin): 12.8 (80% range -6 to 32)
Total: 41.1 (80% range 21 to 62)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 24 | 0.97% |
| 7 | 17 | 0.91% |
| 10 | 21 | 0.90% |
| 7 | 21 | 0.87% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.86% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:59 PM | 12.8 | 41.1 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:08 PM | 12.8 | 41.1 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:13 PM | 12.8 | 41.1 | 81% |