2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Huntington Bank Stadium
Northwestern @ Minnesota
Predicted scoreToss-up
Northwestern
24.3
Minnesota
23.3
Minnesota win probability: 48%
Margin (Minnesota − Northwestern): -1.0 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 47.7 (80% range 26 to 71)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:49 PM | -1.0 | 47.6 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:53 PM | -1.0 | 47.7 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:24 PM | -1.0 | 47.7 | 48% |