2026 Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026, 4:00 AM · Husky Stadium
Minnesota @ Washington
Predicted scoreLikely
Minnesota
17.8
Washington
31.1
Washington win probability: 81%
Margin (Washington − Minnesota): 13.4 (80% range -6 to 32)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.91% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:58 PM | 13.3 | 49.0 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:00 PM | 13.3 | 49.0 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:04 PM | 13.4 | 48.9 | 81% |