Minnesota
Big Ten
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Nebraska | 10–13 | 23.5–31.7 | 5.2 |
| Week 2 | vs Eastern Michigan | 6–25 | 11.7–38.0 | 7.3 |
| Week 3 | @ North Carolina | 31–13 | 29.1–24.4 | 13.3 |
| Week 4 | @ Northwestern | 37–34 | 24.9–26.8 | 4.9 |
| Week 5 | vs Louisiana | 24–35 | 26.5–28.4 | 9.1 |
| Week 6 | vs Michigan | 52–10 | 36.2–17.1 | 22.8 |
| Week 8 | @ Iowa | 10–12 | 23.7–19.3 | 6.4 |
| Week 9 | vs Michigan State | 12–27 | 24.8–26.5 | 13.3 |
| Week 10 | vs Illinois | 27–26 | 24.5–27.1 | 3.6 |
| Week 11 | @ Purdue | 49–30 | 26.7–27.2 | 19.5 |
| Week 12 | @ Ohio State | 37–3 | 38.2–16.2 | 12.0 |
| Week 13 | vs Wisconsin | 28–14 | 27.1–23.9 | 10.8 |
| Week 1 | vs Bowling Green | 24–30 | 13.7–34.2 | 14.5 |