2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 11:30 PM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Michigan @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreConfident

Michigan

36.2

Minnesota

17.1

Minnesota win probability: 11%

Margin (Minnesota − Michigan): -19.2 (80% range -39 to 0)

Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 77)

Actual: Michigan 52 – Minnesota 10 (margin error 22.8, total error 8.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.