Michigan
Big Ten
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Western Michigan | 14.2–34.6 | 91% |
| Week 2 | vs Oklahoma | 23.1–26.5 | 59% |
| Week 3 | vs UTEP | 9.4–39.5 | 98% |
| Week 4 | vs Iowa | 22.5–24.0 | 54% |
| Week 5 | @ Minnesota | 21.5–27.9 | 66% |
| Week 7 | vs Penn State | 26.0–26.2 | 50% |
| Week 8 | vs Indiana | 33.5–19.5 | 19% |
| Week 9 | @ Rutgers | 24.8–32.9 | 69% |
| Week 10 | vs Michigan State | 19.3–30.9 | 77% |
| Week 11 | @ Oregon | 33.5–19.2 | 18% |
| Week 12 | vs UCLA | 18.2–33.0 | 83% |
| Week 13 | @ Ohio State | 32.9–17.8 | 17% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
No completed, graded games for 2026 yet.