Michigan
Big Ten
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Fresno State | 10–30 | 13.2–40.7 | 7.5 |
| Week 2 | vs Texas | 31–12 | 18.2–31.9 | 32.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Arkansas State | 18–28 | 12.1–43.2 | 21.1 |
| Week 4 | vs USC | 24–27 | 19.7–29.6 | 6.9 |
| Week 5 | vs Minnesota | 24–27 | 15.4–31.7 | 13.3 |
| Week 6 | @ Washington | 27–17 | 23.7–27.2 | 13.5 |
| Week 8 | @ Illinois | 21–7 | 21.2–29.3 | 22.1 |
| Week 9 | vs Michigan State | 17–24 | 17.4–28.9 | 4.4 |
| Week 10 | vs Oregon | 38–17 | 26.7–24.0 | 18.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Indiana | 20–15 | 30.0–24.3 | 0.8 |
| Week 13 | vs Northwestern | 6–50 | 15.5–28.4 | 31.1 |
| Week 14 | @ Ohio State | 10–13 | 34.1–17.7 | 19.4 |
| Week 1 | vs Alabama | 13–19 | 23.6–28.9 | 0.7 |