2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 8:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Michigan @ Indiana

Predicted scoreLean

Michigan

24.3

Indiana

30.0

Indiana win probability: 64%

Margin (Indiana − Michigan): 5.8 (80% range -14 to 27)

Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Michigan 15 – Indiana 20 (margin error 0.8, total error 19.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.