Predicted scoreLikely
Texas
18.2
Michigan
31.9
Michigan win probability: 81%
Margin (Michigan − Texas): 13.7 (80% range -6 to 34)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Texas 31 – Michigan 12 (margin error 32.7, total error 7.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.