Michigan
Big Ten
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs East Carolina | 3–30 | 13.5–42.1 | 1.7 |
| Week 2 | vs UNLV | 7–35 | 7.1–44.7 | 9.6 |
| Week 3 | vs Bowling Green | 6–31 | 7.2–42.4 | 10.1 |
| Week 4 | vs Rutgers | 7–31 | 13.6–35.7 | 2.0 |
| Week 5 | @ Nebraska | 7–45 | 15.3–37.3 | 15.9 |
| Week 6 | @ Minnesota | 10–52 | 17.1–36.2 | 22.8 |
| Week 7 | vs Indiana | 7–52 | 12.3–40.7 | 16.6 |
| Week 8 | @ Michigan State | 0–49 | 15.7–35.2 | 29.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Purdue | 13–41 | 14.0–40.1 | 1.9 |
| Week 11 | @ Penn State | 15–24 | 24.6–29.4 | 4.2 |
| Week 12 | @ Maryland | 24–31 | 19.7–36.5 | 9.9 |
| Week 13 | vs Ohio State | 24–30 | 23.1–29.6 | 0.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Iowa | 0–26 | 10.0–32.0 | 4.1 |
| Week 1 | vs Alabama | 20–27 | 28.5–27.5 | 8.0 |
| Week 1 | vs Washington | 13–34 | 22.7–36.0 | 7.7 |