2023 Postseason · Jan 9, 2024, 12:30 AM · NRG Stadium (neutral site)

Washington @ Michigan

Predicted scoreLikely

Washington

22.7

Michigan

36.0

Michigan win probability: 79%

Margin (Michigan − Washington): 13.3 (80% range -7 to 35)

Total: 58.7 (80% range 34 to 84)

Actual: Washington 13 – Michigan 34 (margin error 7.7, total error 11.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.