2023 Postseason · Jan 9, 2024, 12:30 AM · NRG Stadium (neutral site)
Washington @ Michigan
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington
22.7
Michigan
36.0
Michigan win probability: 79%
Margin (Michigan − Washington): 13.3 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 58.7 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Washington 13 – Michigan 34 (margin error 7.7, total error 11.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.