2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 5:00 PM · Michigan Stadium
Ohio State @ Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio State
23.1
Michigan
29.6
Michigan win probability: 66%
Margin (Michigan − Ohio State): 6.4 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Ohio State 24 – Michigan 30 (margin error 0.4, total error 1.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.