Predicted scoreConfident
Rutgers
13.6
Michigan
35.7
Michigan win probability: 93%
Margin (Michigan − Rutgers): 22.0 (80% range 3 to 42)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Rutgers 7 – Michigan 31 (margin error 2.0, total error 11.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.88% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.