Michigan
Big Ten
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs New Mexico | 17–34 | 13.2–41.3 | 11.1 |
| Week 2 | @ Oklahoma | 24–13 | 24.1–24.8 | 11.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Central Michigan | 3–63 | 13.9–38.2 | 35.7 |
| Week 4 | @ Nebraska | 27–30 | 24.6–26.4 | 1.2 |
| Week 6 | vs Wisconsin | 10–24 | 19.6–30.5 | 3.1 |
| Week 7 | @ USC | 31–13 | 32.9–25.4 | 10.5 |
| Week 8 | vs Washington | 7–24 | 25.7–27.7 | 15.0 |
| Week 9 | @ Michigan State | 20–31 | 20.8–30.3 | 1.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Purdue | 16–21 | 19.7–32.5 | 7.8 |
| Week 12 | @ Northwestern | 22–24 | 21.8–27.4 | 3.6 |
| Week 13 | @ Maryland | 20–45 | 22.1–27.0 | 20.1 |
| Week 14 | vs Ohio State | 27–9 | 30.4–20.9 | 8.5 |
| Week 1 | @ Texas | 41–27 | 26.2–19.1 | 6.9 |