Predicted scoreLean
Michigan
27.0
Maryland
22.1
Maryland win probability: 38%
Margin (Maryland − Michigan): -4.9 (80% range -24 to 14)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Michigan 45 – Maryland 20 (margin error 20.1, total error 15.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.