Predicted scoreToss-up
Michigan
24.8
Oklahoma
24.1
Oklahoma win probability: 48%
Margin (Oklahoma − Michigan): -0.7 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 49.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Michigan 13 – Oklahoma 24 (margin error 11.7, total error 12.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.