2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 4:00 PM · Michigan Stadium
Central Michigan @ Michigan
Predicted scoreConfident
Central Michigan
13.9
Michigan
38.2
Michigan win probability: 94%
Margin (Michigan − Central Michigan): 24.3 (80% range 4 to 45)
Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Central Michigan 3 – Michigan 63 (margin error 35.7, total error 13.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 1.01% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.