2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 4:00 PM · Michigan Stadium
Washington @ Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington
25.7
Michigan
27.7
Michigan win probability: 55%
Margin (Michigan − Washington): 2.0 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 53.4 (80% range 30 to 79)
Actual: Washington 7 – Michigan 24 (margin error 15.0, total error 22.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.