2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 7:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Michigan @ Nebraska

Predicted scoreToss-up

Michigan

26.4

Nebraska

24.6

Nebraska win probability: 45%

Margin (Nebraska − Michigan): -1.8 (80% range -21 to 18)

Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Michigan 30 – Nebraska 27 (margin error 1.2, total error 6.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.