Predicted scoreConfident
Michigan
36.5
Maryland
19.7
Maryland win probability: 15%
Margin (Maryland − Michigan): -16.9 (80% range -38 to 4)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 80)
Actual: Michigan 31 – Maryland 24 (margin error 9.9, total error 1.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.65% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.