2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 11:30 PM · Michigan Stadium
Bowling Green @ Michigan
Predicted scoreConfident
Bowling Green
7.2
Michigan
42.4
Michigan win probability: 99%
Margin (Michigan − Bowling Green): 35.1 (80% range 14 to 56)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 28 to 72)
Actual: Bowling Green 6 – Michigan 31 (margin error 10.1, total error 12.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38 | 1.45% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.42% |
| 0 | 45 | 1.32% |
| 0 | 31 | 1.22% |
| 3 | 38 | 1.17% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.