2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:30 PM · Michigan Stadium
Northwestern @ Michigan
Predicted scoreLikely
Northwestern
15.5
Michigan
28.4
Michigan win probability: 80%
Margin (Michigan − Northwestern): 12.9 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 43.8 (80% range 24 to 66)
Actual: Northwestern 6 – Michigan 50 (margin error 31.1, total error 12.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 24 | 0.94% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.91% |
| 7 | 17 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.