2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 11:30 PM · Husky Stadium
Michigan @ Washington
Predicted scoreToss-up
Michigan
27.2
Washington
23.7
Washington win probability: 42%
Margin (Washington − Michigan): -3.5 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Michigan 17 – Washington 27 (margin error 13.5, total error 6.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.