Predicted scoreConfident
Minnesota
15.4
Michigan
31.7
Michigan win probability: 86%
Margin (Michigan − Minnesota): 16.3 (80% range -3 to 36)
Total: 47.1 (80% range 27 to 69)
Actual: Minnesota 24 – Michigan 27 (margin error 13.3, total error 3.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.