2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 5:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Michigan @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Michigan
17.7
Ohio State
34.1
Ohio State win probability: 85%
Margin (Ohio State − Michigan): 16.4 (80% range -4 to 37)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Michigan 13 – Ohio State 10 (margin error 19.4, total error 28.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.