Predicted scoreLikely
UCLA
18.2
Michigan
33.0
Michigan win probability: 83%
Margin (Michigan − UCLA): 14.8 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.82% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.72% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:49 PM | 14.8 | 51.2 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:50 PM | 14.7 | 51.2 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:40 PM | 14.8 | 51.2 | 83% |