2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Michigan @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreLikely
Michigan
17.8
Ohio State
32.9
Ohio State win probability: 83%
Margin (Ohio State − Michigan): 15.1 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:07 PM | 15.1 | 50.7 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:12 PM | 15.1 | 50.7 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:38 PM | 15.1 | 50.7 | 83% |