Predicted scoreToss-up
Oklahoma
23.1
Michigan
26.5
Michigan win probability: 59%
Margin (Michigan − Oklahoma): 3.4 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:23 PM | 3.2 | 49.9 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:24 PM | 3.3 | 49.6 | 58% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:21 PM | 3.4 | 49.6 | 59% |