Predicted scoreLean
Michigan
27.9
Minnesota
21.5
Minnesota win probability: 34%
Margin (Minnesota − Michigan): -6.4 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:06 PM | -6.5 | 49.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:08 PM | -6.5 | 49.4 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:21 PM | -6.4 | 49.4 | 34% |