Predicted scoreConfident
UTEP
9.4
Michigan
39.5
Michigan win probability: 98%
Margin (Michigan − UTEP): 30.1 (80% range 10 to 50)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 28 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31 | 1.11% |
| 7 | 38 | 1.10% |
| 7 | 31 | 1.08% |
| 7 | 35 | 1.07% |
| 0 | 38 | 1.00% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:35 PM | 30.2 | 48.8 | 98% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:40 PM | 30.1 | 49.0 | 98% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:11 PM | 30.1 | 48.9 | 98% |