Predicted scoreLean
Michigan
32.9
Rutgers
24.8
Rutgers win probability: 31%
Margin (Rutgers − Michigan): -8.1 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 57.7 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 21 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:04 PM | -9.5 | 57.7 | 28% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:04 PM | -9.5 | 57.8 | 28% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:09 PM | -8.1 | 57.7 | 31% |