2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 8:30 PM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Wisconsin @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreToss-up

Wisconsin

27.1

Minnesota

23.9

Minnesota win probability: 42%

Margin (Minnesota − Wisconsin): -3.2 (80% range -23 to 17)

Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Wisconsin 28 – Minnesota 14 (margin error 10.8, total error 9.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.