2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 7:30 PM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Illinois @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreToss-up

Illinois

24.5

Minnesota

27.1

Minnesota win probability: 56%

Margin (Minnesota − Illinois): 2.6 (80% range -17 to 23)

Total: 51.7 (80% range 29 to 76)

Actual: Illinois 27 – Minnesota 26 (margin error 3.6, total error 1.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.