Predicted scoreLean
Nebraska
23.5
Minnesota
31.7
Minnesota win probability: 69%
Margin (Minnesota − Nebraska): 8.2 (80% range -13 to 29)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Nebraska 10 – Minnesota 13 (margin error 5.2, total error 32.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.