2023 Week 1 · Sep 1, 2023, 12:00 AM · Huntington Bank Stadium

Nebraska @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreLean

Nebraska

23.5

Minnesota

31.7

Minnesota win probability: 69%

Margin (Minnesota − Nebraska): 8.2 (80% range -13 to 29)

Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Nebraska 10 – Minnesota 13 (margin error 5.2, total error 32.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.