Minnesota
Big Ten
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Buffalo | 10–23 | 12.8–35.9 | 10.1 |
| Week 3 | @ California | 27–14 | 21.4–28.8 | 20.4 |
| Week 5 | vs Rutgers | 28–31 | 26.7–31.4 | 1.6 |
| Week 6 | @ Ohio State | 42–3 | 33.6–13.0 | 18.4 |
| Week 7 | vs Purdue | 20–27 | 23.3–27.4 | 3.0 |
| Week 8 | vs Nebraska | 6–24 | 24.4–20.8 | 21.6 |
| Week 9 | @ Iowa | 41–3 | 26.2–16.1 | 27.9 |
| Week 10 | vs Michigan State | 20–23 | 21.8–25.7 | 1.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Oregon | 42–13 | 34.3–15.1 | 9.8 |
| Week 13 | @ Northwestern | 38–35 | 24.0–22.4 | 1.4 |
| Week 14 | vs Wisconsin | 7–17 | 23.8–22.4 | 11.4 |
| Week 1 | vs New Mexico | 17–20 | 20.0–38.1 | 15.2 |