Predicted scoreConfident
Minnesota
15.1
Oregon
34.3
Oregon win probability: 89%
Margin (Oregon − Minnesota): 19.2 (80% range 0 to 39)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 28 to 72)
Actual: Minnesota 13 – Oregon 42 (margin error 9.8, total error 5.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.87% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.82% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.