Oregon

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Illinois	23.7–30.2	66%
Week 9	vs Northwestern	22.4–28.1	64%
Week 10	@ Ohio State	29.7–17.8	22%
Week 11	vs Michigan	18.4–28.1	74%
Week 12	@ Michigan State	18.7–29.5	76%
Week 13	vs Washington	17.3–28.2	76%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Boise State	27–34	15.6–35.1	12.6
Week 2	@ Oklahoma State	39–31	16.3–39.9	31.6
Week 3	vs Portland State	0–84	—	—
Week 4	@ USC	27–41	30.1–27.4	16.7
Week 6	vs UCLA	17–15	21.5–32.8	13.3
Week 7	vs Nebraska	14–17	21.3–29.0	4.7