2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Autzen Stadium
Northwestern @ Oregon
Predicted scoreConfident
Northwestern
16.8
Oregon
35.6
Oregon win probability: 88%
Margin (Oregon − Northwestern): 18.8 (80% range -1 to 39)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:04 PM | 18.9 | 52.4 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:04 PM | 18.9 | 52.4 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:11 PM | 18.8 | 52.3 | 88% |