2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Autzen Stadium
Washington @ Oregon
Predicted scoreLikely
Washington
20.1
Oregon
30.7
Oregon win probability: 75%
Margin (Oregon − Washington): 10.7 (80% range -9 to 31)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:08 PM | 10.7 | 50.8 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:07 PM | 10.7 | 50.8 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:16 PM | 10.7 | 50.8 | 75% |