Predicted scoreConfident
UCLA
14.8
Oregon
38.5
Oregon win probability: 94%
Margin (Oregon − UCLA): 23.7 (80% range 4 to 45)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:22 PM | 23.7 | 53.3 | 94% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:22 PM | 23.7 | 53.3 | 94% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:23 PM | 23.7 | 53.3 | 94% |