Oregon
Big Ten
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Oklahoma State | 3–69 | 22.1–35.3 | 52.8 |
| Week 3 | @ Northwestern | 14–34 | 20.3–30.1 | 10.2 |
| Week 4 | vs Oregon State | 7–41 | 15.6–39.4 | 10.2 |
| Week 5 | @ Penn State | 24–30 | 29.5–24.0 | 11.4 |
| Week 7 | vs Indiana | 30–20 | 29.5–27.6 | 8.2 |
| Week 8 | @ Rutgers | 10–56 | 25.3–37.5 | 33.8 |
| Week 9 | vs Wisconsin | 7–21 | 13.9–37.2 | 9.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Iowa | 16–18 | 22.2–23.3 | 0.8 |
| Week 12 | vs Minnesota | 13–42 | 15.1–34.3 | 9.8 |
| Week 13 | vs USC | 27–42 | 25.7–34.3 | 6.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Washington | 14–26 | 23.6–27.9 | 7.6 |
| Week 1 | vs James Madison | 34–51 | 17.5–38.7 | 4.1 |
| Week 1 | @ Texas Tech | 0–23 | 25.0–34.8 | 13.2 |
| Week 1 | @ Indiana | 56–22 | 29.0–32.3 | 37.4 |