2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 7:30 PM · Autzen Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Oregon
Predicted scoreLikely
Oklahoma State
22.1
Oregon
35.3
Oregon win probability: 79%
Margin (Oregon − Oklahoma State): 13.2 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Oklahoma State 3 – Oregon 69 (margin error 52.8, total error 14.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.58% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.58% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.