2025 Postseason · Jan 10, 2026, 12:30 AM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site)

Oregon @ Indiana

Predicted scoreToss-up

Oregon

32.3

Indiana

29.0

Indiana win probability: 42%

Margin (Indiana − Oregon): -3.4 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 61.3 (80% range 37 to 87)

Actual: Oregon 22 – Indiana 56 (margin error 37.4, total error 16.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.